Are FICO scores outdated in rating risk of home loan applicants?
"...You've got some
company. Digital Risk, a mortgage analytics firm, is mounting an unusual
frontal assault on one of the lending industry's sacred cows.
It argues that credit scores such as FICO failed to predict large numbers of defaults during the mortgage bust years — most notably thousands of "strategic" walkaways by borrowers with high scores — because they could not anticipate homeowners' reactions to economic stress. Unless lenders use more sophisticated assessment tools that incorporate far more than credit histories, Digital Risk says, they may be misjudging not only many of today's high-risk borrowers but other applicants who are safer bets than their credit scores suggest...."
It argues that credit scores such as FICO failed to predict large numbers of defaults during the mortgage bust years — most notably thousands of "strategic" walkaways by borrowers with high scores — because they could not anticipate homeowners' reactions to economic stress. Unless lenders use more sophisticated assessment tools that incorporate far more than credit histories, Digital Risk says, they may be misjudging not only many of today's high-risk borrowers but other applicants who are safer bets than their credit scores suggest...."
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